Thursday, November 19, 2009

Week 11 NFL Picks


It doesnt look like I will be able to do a football Friday update this week. But, that might be a good thing considering how my picks have been doing. It has been noted by several fans that my picks have been terrible, most especially my Stone Cold Steve Austin Lead Pipe Locks. So, this week we go to the sports book and I am going to pick each game against the spread and give confidence points to each game on the slate this weekend (With 16 games being played this weekend, I will give 16 pts to the team I feel most confidently will cover, and 1 being the team I feel least confident in).

Lines courtesy of Danny Sheridan:

16. Minnesota -10.5 vs. Seattle. Seattle will not have a chance as Peterson will run over them, and Favre will sling it around. Look for the pash rush to get after Hasselbeck.
15. Cincinnati -9.5 @ Oakland. Certainly the Bengals have a let down or 2 left in them, but I watched Bruce Gradkowski in Cleveland a year ago, who is starting at QB for Oakland, and the Bengals will load up the box and dare the Raiders to beat them passing the ball and I dont think they have it in them.
14. Pittsburgh -10 @ KC. KC was able to run the ball last week against Oak, I dont think they will have similar success against the Steelers
13. Indy -1 @ Baltimore. I like Peyton to keep it going agains ta banged up Ravens D.
12. Arizona -9 @ St. Louis. St. Louis covered last week @ home against New Orleans, dont you think I would learn my lesson? No, the answer is I am a sucker for going against these bad teams.
11. Dallas - 11 vs. Washington. Dallas has looked good lately and Washington didnt impress anybody by beating stumbling Denver after a bye week. Ill give them points.
10. San Diego +3 @ Denver. Denver is stumbling right out of the playoffs as SD races past them. Maybe LT will show up for 2 games in a row?
9. NO - 11 @ TB. Lots of double digit road favorites worry me. But the Saints are good, and while Josh Freeman has looked like the QB of the future, hes bound to have a bad game and the Saints D feasts off turnovers.
8. Detroit -3.5 vs. Cleveland. If the Browns score a TD will anybody see it? This battle of 1 win wonders should be a thriller, but I see Detroit being able to score enough to beat the Browns.
7. Jax -9 vs. Buf. Buffalo just fired there coach and I like the Jags.
6. Jets +10.5 @ NE. Dont get me wrong I think the Pats should win this game, but 4 out of the Jets 5 losses have been by 4, 3, 5, and 2.
5. NYG -6.5 vs. Atl. Each week it seems like Atlanta is playing a tough opponent. I like the rested GMen
4. Carolina -3 vs. Miami (Thursday night). I will take the suddenly surging Panthers and give the 3 against the banged up Dolphins in a game that noone will see, thanks to the NFL network.
3. Chicago +3 vs. Philadelphia. Philly has been inconsistent so it wont suprise me if they win, but with the extra rest, Jay Cutler will find a way to not throw as many INTs.
2. SF +6.5 @ GB. I think Rodgers is better than Cutler so there wont the QB wont give the game away in this 1, but protection has been horrible all year for GB. With the extra days off, I think Singeltary finds a way to pressure Rodgers and keeps this 1 close.
1. Houston -4 @ Tennessee (Monday Night). The Titans offense has come alive with Vince Young under center. I think there will be a shootout. I am betting against the red hot team, but not a ton of confidence here.

Feel free to play against me, we will grade how I did next Tuesday out of a possible 136 points

3 comments:

  1. Joe, not sure what you have against my boy Bruce Gradkowski but there is no reason to call him out. He is the man. Rocket Pride

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  2. No analysis, just the picks. Hopefully, they'll speak for themselves come Tuesday.

    16. Indy -1 @ Baltimore.
    15. Cincinnati -9.5 @ Oakland.
    14. Minnesota -10.5 vs. Seattle.
    13. Pittsburgh -10 @ KC.
    12. San Diego +3 @ Denver.
    11. NO -11 @ TB.
    10. Cleveland +3.5 @ Detroit.
    9. Jax -9 vs. Buf.
    8. Washington +11 @ Dallas.
    7. NE -10.5 vs. Jets.
    6. Houston -4 @ Tennessee (Monday Night)
    5. St. Louis + 9 vs. Arizona.
    4. Miami +3 @ Car (Thursday night). Sticky Ricky goes wild.
    3. GB -6 vs. SF.
    2. Chicago +3 vs. Philadelphia.
    1. Atl +6.5 @ NYG. Giants keep struggling.

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  3. Nick - i didnt mean to offend you or any rocket alum, but Bruce isnt playing in the MAC no more.

    Dave - huge swing game with Detroit and Cleveland. NE/Jets could be the decider as well....

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